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Log in to turn it onThe market backs Villarreal CF despite a modest away record, reflecting Valencia CF's struggles at home where they remain winless and frequently fail to score. While Villarreal CF shows higher shot volumes and possession metrics, their own inconsistency on the road prevents a clear advantage. The encounter brings together two sides mired in the lower half of the standings, with Valencia CF looking to reverse a four-match winless streak in this fixture.
Updated on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at
Valencia CF have not beaten Villarreal CF in 4 games.
Valencia CF won 0 of their 5 home games in the competition.
Valencia CF are winless in 3 games in the competition.
Valencia CF failed to score in 5 of their 9 games in the competition.
#19 with 6 points (1W · 3D · 5L). Averages 0.83 goals for and 1.83 goals against per match.
#12 with 9 points (2W · 3D · 4L). Averages 1.5 goals for and 1.33 goals against per match.
Valencia CF attempts to reverse a winless home sequence against a Villarreal CF side that struggles to secure victories on the road.
Implied probability, normalised so the three add up to 100.
Bookmakers lean toward Villarreal CF due to their superior shot volume, yet their single away win across five trips on the road suggests the visiting favoritism comes with a notable margin of error.
| Team | MP | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 9 | +30 | 27 |
| 2 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 9 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Real Madrid CF | 9 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompié | 9 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 9 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Sevilla FC | 9 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 | Deportivo Alavés | 9 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | RC Celta de Vigo | 9 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | RC Deportivo La Coruña | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 | CA Osasuna | 9 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 | Villarreal CF | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 8 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 | Getafe CF | 9 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 9 | -1 | 8 |
| 16 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 9 | -12 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante UD | 8 | -4 | 7 |
| 18 | Elche CF | 9 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | Valencia CF | 9 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Málaga CF | 9 | -12 | 4 |
Valencia CF. Valencia CF spreads scoring across single-goal contributors like Luis Rioja while struggling to generate attacking consistency, leaving the team vulnerable when those isolated sources fail to produce.
Villarreal CF. Villarreal CF concentrates scoring production in players like Pape Alassane Gueye while maintaining high shot volume, contrasting with a Valencia CF side that distributes single goals among multiple contributors without establishing a clear reference.
Average of the most recent matches with stats available (9 and 9 respectively).
Villarreal CF sustains higher shot volumes and possession shares despite an inconsistent away path, while Valencia CF struggles to generate attacking consistency and fails to score in half of its tournament matches.
While Villarreal CF concentrates more than half of its scoring output inside the final fifteen minutes of each half, Valencia CF distributes its goals evenly across the match without establishing a dominant scoring window.
9Villarreal CF won6Valencia CF wonThe historical balance shows Villarreal CF taking the upper hand with four wins against one for Valencia CF across eight meetings, though the most recent fixture at Estadio de Mestalla ended level.
89 5 · in 15 meetings
While Gerard Moreno and Pape Alassane Gueye lead Villarreal CF historic output against Valencia CF, where Pepelu remains the local reference, the high historical card accumulation reflects the intense friction typical of these encounters.
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