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Log in to turn it onThe eight-match sequence without a win for Independiente Medellín against Atlético Nacional sets a distinct backdrop as the visitors arrive with four defeats in their last six outings. Meanwhile, Atlético Nacional sustains an unbeaten run across four matches and a steady home record that contrasts with the visiting side's recent inconsistency.
Updated on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at
Independiente Medellín have not beaten Atlético Nacional in 8 games.
Atlético Nacional won 3 of their 5 home games in the competition.
Atlético Nacional are unbeaten in 4 games in the competition.
Atlético Nacional are 2 points behind the group leaders.
#2 with 26 points (8W · 2D · 2L). Averages 1.83 goals for and 1.17 goals against per match.
#6 with 23 points (7W · 2D · 5L). Averages 1 goal for and 1.5 goals against per match.
Atletico Nacional maintains a high possession share and strong home output, winning three of five matches at Atanasio Girardot. Conversely, Independiente Medellin secures half of its victories on the road despite conceding an average of one and a half goals across its recent six fixtures.
Implied probability, normalised so the three add up to 100.
| Team | MP | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 2 | Atlético Nacional | 12 | +14 | 26 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 14 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 15 | +10 | 25 |
| 5 | Atlético Bucaramanga | 13 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellín | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 13 | +6 | 22 |
| 8 | Tolima | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | CD Once Caldas | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 | Rionegro Aguilas | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 13 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Llaneros FC | 14 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Alianza Petrolera | 14 | -11 | 15 |
| 14 | La Equidad | 14 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 | Junior | 14 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Chico FC | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 | Fortaleza | 13 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pereira | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 19 | CD Jaguares | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 13 | -10 | 9 |
Atlético Nacional. Atletico Nacional relies heavily on Andres Sarmiento to sustain its scoring output given his six goals, while Edwin Cardona supports with three. If Sarmiento fails to convert against the visiting defensive vulnerabilities, the attacking volume depends on secondary arrivals from the midfield.
Independiente Medellín. John Edwin Montaño concentrates the scoring weight for Independiente Medellín with five goals while the team averages a single converted goal per fixture in recent outings. That offensive production faces a defensive structure where the hosts concede slightly over one goal per match, requiring John Edwin Montaño to maximize low conversion volumes against a stable local defense.
Average of the most recent matches with stats available (10 and 10 respectively).
The convergence of Atlético Nacional holding substantial possession and Independiente Medellín conceding multiple goals in recent fixtures suggests a match where the hosts will dictate the tempo. Given that most of the visitors' recent outings feature high scores, the defensive vulnerabilities of Independiente Medellín point toward an open contest shaped by Atlético Nacional attacking volume.
The concentration of scoring output in the final fifteen minutes for Atlético Nacional intersects with Independiente Medellín conceding multiple goals in recent fixtures, pointing toward a decisive phase in the closing moments if the defensive vulnerabilities persist.
4Independiente Medellín won7Atlético Nacional wonThe historical balance shows a clear upper hand for Atlético Nacional across recent encounters, where draws outnumber the visiting side victories. This pattern aligns with the distinct difference in scoring outcomes, as the established head to head dominance consistently reflects superior goal conversion for the hosts.
90 17 · in 30 meetings
The scoring weight rests heavily on Andres Sarmiento and Edwin Cardona for Atlético Nacional and John Edwin Montaño for Independiente Medellín, though historical scorers like Jefferson Duque show that past editions required multiple contributors.
La Equidad vs Independiente Medellín
28/10 · Colombia - Liga BetPlay 2026
Cucuta vs Atlético Nacional
20/10 · Colombia - Liga BetPlay 2026
