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Log in to turn it onManchester City FC visits Villa Park maintaining a perfect away record and relying on Erling Haaland, who has scored six goals in six matches. Aston Villa FC enters the fixture without a victory in three home matches in the tournament and with significant defensive vulnerabilities reflected in their negative goal difference.
Updated on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at
Manchester City FC are unbeaten in 7 games in the competition.
Aston Villa FC won 0 of their 3 home games in the competition.
Manchester City FC won 3 of their 3 away games in the competition.
Erling Haaland scored 8 of Manchester City FC's 19 goals in the competition.
#12 with 8 points (2W · 2D · 3L). Averages 1.17 goals for and 1 goal against per match.
#1 with 21 points (7W · 0D · 0L). Averages 2.83 goals for and 1 goal against per match.
Aston Villa FC registers a lower average possession and fewer shots on target than Manchester City FC, compounding the difficulty of overcoming opponents on home soil.
Implied probability, normalised so the three add up to 100.
Bookmakers price the visitors as clear favourites, reflecting a run of three away wins contrasting directly with the hosts failing to secure a victory across three home fixtures.
| Team | MP | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City FC | 7 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal FC | 7 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 7 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea FC | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool FC | 7 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford FC | 7 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds United FC | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Everton FC | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Hull City AFC | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich Town FC | 7 | -4 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle United FC | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Aston Villa FC | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Manchester United FC | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace FC | 7 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 | AFC Bournemouth | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Coventry City FC | 7 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Fulham FC | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest FC | 7 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 | Sunderland AFC | 7 | -8 | 4 |
Aston Villa FC. Nicolas Jackson concentrates the scoring production for Aston Villa FC after converting a third of the team goals, leaving the attacking phase vulnerable whenever the forward fails to influence the match.
Manchester City FC. While Manchester City FC distributes scoring production across multiple contributors behind Erling Haaland, the visitors face an opponent heavily dependent on Nicolas Jackson to generate offensive output.
Average of the most recent matches with stats available (7 and 7 respectively).
The visiting side relies on controlling possession to protect a defence that conceded fewer goals, while Aston Villa FC struggles with conversion after failing to score in half of its tournament fixtures.
Manchester City FC concentrates offensive production between the forty-sixth and sixtieth minutes, matching a defensive vulnerability for Aston Villa FC that historically yields goals in the final half-hour.
9Manchester City FC won3Aston Villa FC wonThe historical head-to-head record remains balanced with three wins per side across eight encounters. Recent meetings at Villa Park reflect competitive margins, including the hosts securing a victory in their most recent home fixture against this opponent.
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