RB Leipzig vs SV 07 Elversberg: the preview

Saturday, October 24 · Red Bull Arena Bundesliga 2026/27

VS
RB Leipzig #7 · 9 pts

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SV 07 Elversberg #6 · 10 pts
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RB Leipzig relies on a perfect home record and the attacking output of Christopher Nkunku to stay near the top of the table. Facing a SV 07 Elversberg side that struggles to score consistently on the road and enters this match winless in three outings, the hosts look to capitalize on their defensive solidity at home.

Updated on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at

Key facts

  • RB Leipzig won 3 of their 3 home games in the competition.

  • SV 07 Elversberg are 4 points behind the group leaders.

  • 33% of SV 07 Elversberg's goals come in the first fifteen minutes.

  • RB Leipzig kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 games.

Current form

RB Leipzig balances two home clean sheets with heavy scoring output, while SV 07 Elversberg brings a lower shooting volume and recent scoreless outings on the road.

The odds

RB Leipzig 71.6%
Draw 16.8%
RB Leipzig 1.29 Draw 5.5 SV 07 Elversberg 8

Implied probability, normalised so the three add up to 100.

The market heavily backs the hosts, aligning with a home record of three wins in three matches. Meanwhile, SV 07 Elversberg enters this fixture carrying a three-match winless run and managing just one victory in three attempts on the road.

Where they stand

Group A
Team MP GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 6 +17 14
2 Borussia Dortmund 6 +7 14
3 SC Freiburg 6 +9 13
4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6 +7 13
5 1. FSV Mainz 05 6 +4 10
6 SV 07 Elversberg 6 +1 10
7 RB Leipzig 6 +5 9
8 SV Werder Bremen 6 0 9
9 Hamburger SV 6 -9 9
10 FC Augsburg 6 +4 8
11 Eintracht Frankfurt 6 -6 8
12 1. FC Köln 6 -3 7
13 VfB Stuttgart 6 -2 6
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 6 -3 6
15 FC Schalke 04 6 -3 5
16 SC Paderborn 07 6 -4 5
17 1. FC Union Berlin 6 -12 5
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 -12 0

The difference-makers

RB Leipzig. RB Leipzig depends heavily on Christopher Nkunku for primary scoring output, meaning the hosts require alternative production from Antonio Nusa if the main threat fails to find space.

SV 07 Elversberg. With Maurice Krattenmacher shouldering the scoring responsibility alongside a team that has failed to find the net in multiple outings, SV 07 Elversberg requires a significant offensive uptick to challenge a defensively sound host.

Playing style

RB LeipzigSV 07 Elversberg
52.5% Possession 44.5%
6.5 Remates al arco 4.7
17.8 Remates totales 11.2
5.5 Corners 3.7
9.8 Fouls 11.8

Average of the most recent matches with stats available (6 and 6 respectively).

The numbers point to a match where RB Leipzig controls the ball while SV 07 Elversberg relies on fewer possessions. Given the hosts generate heavy shooting volume and the visitors struggle to score on the road, the statistical profile suggests a one-sided pattern.

When they settle games

RB Leipzig 16 goals

1-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90

SV 07 Elversberg 12 goals

1-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90

Aligning the scoring distributions reveals that RB Leipzig concentrates nearly half of its goals in the final half-hour of matches, coinciding with the exact period where SV 07 Elversberg registers its highest defensive vulnerability.

Then they play

Real Madrid CF vs RB Leipzig 21/10 · UEFA - Champions League 2026/27 SV 07 Elversberg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 30/10 · Bundesliga 2026/27
They meet again: SV 07 Elversberg vs RB Leipzig · Bundesliga 2026/27 02/03