SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: the preview

Saturday, October 24 · Benteler-Arena Bundesliga 2026/27

VS
SC Paderborn 07 #16 · 5 pts

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Hamburger SV #9 · 9 pts
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The betting market refuses to establish a clear favourite as neither side exceeds forty-one percent in implied probability. SC Paderborn 07 struggles to convert chances, failing to score in four of their five tournament fixtures, while Hamburger SV carries a negative ten goal difference alongside defensive vulnerabilities on the road.

Updated on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at

Key facts

  • Hamburger SV have not beaten SC Paderborn 07 in 5 games.

  • 50% of Hamburger SV's goals come in the last fifteen minutes.

  • Hamburger SV took 9 of the last 9 points available.

  • SC Paderborn 07 failed to score in 4 of their 6 games in the competition.

Current form

SC Paderborn 07 seeks to leverage a historical home win against Hamburger SV from 2025 to offset modest scoring metrics, while the visitors try to replicate their recent away success despite conceding heavily on the road.

The odds

SC Paderborn 07 41%
Draw 24.9%
Hamburger SV 34.1%
SC Paderborn 07 2.25 Draw 3.7 Hamburger SV 2.7

Implied probability, normalised so the three add up to 100.

Bookmakers lean slightly toward the hosts despite both teams sharing identical away and home win counts in the tournament, aligning with SC Paderborn 07 holding a significantly tighter defensive record on home soil compared to Hamburger SV conceding heavily on the road.

Where they stand

Group A
Team MP GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 6 +17 14
2 Borussia Dortmund 6 +7 14
3 SC Freiburg 6 +9 13
4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6 +7 13
5 1. FSV Mainz 05 6 +4 10
6 SV 07 Elversberg 6 +1 10
7 RB Leipzig 6 +5 9
8 SV Werder Bremen 6 0 9
9 Hamburger SV 6 -9 9
10 FC Augsburg 6 +4 8
11 Eintracht Frankfurt 6 -6 8
12 1. FC Köln 6 -3 7
13 VfB Stuttgart 6 -2 6
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 6 -3 6
15 FC Schalke 04 6 -3 5
16 SC Paderborn 07 6 -4 5
17 1. FC Union Berlin 6 -12 5
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 -12 0

The difference-makers

SC Paderborn 07. SC Paderborn 07 relies entirely on individual conversions from Santiago Castañeda, Stefano Marino, and Steffen Tigges to offset a severe scoring drought.

Hamburger SV. While Yussuf Poulsen carries the visiting attack, the team struggles to find consistency after failing to score in three tournament fixtures.

Playing style

SC Paderborn 07Hamburger SV
46.2% Possession 39.5%
3 Remates al arco 3.7
13.7 Remates totales 11.2
4.3 Corners 3.8
10.5 Fouls 14.2

Average of the most recent matches with stats available (6 and 6 respectively).

SC Paderborn 07 registers high shot volume despite low possession, while Hamburger SV commits significant fouls and struggles defensively on the road, suggesting a scrappy contest where the visitors absorb pressure and rely on direct transitions.

When they settle games

SC Paderborn 07 5 goals

1-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90

Hamburger SV 6 goals

1-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90

Hamburger SV concentrates the final quarter of its scoring in the closing minutes, matching a phase where SC Paderborn 07 concedes significant ground on home soil.

Head to head

Head-to-head record · last 6 matches
3SC Paderborn 07 won
2Draws
1Hamburger SV won
Goals in the head-to-head11 – 8
Matches6
Last win for SC Paderborn 0703/2025
Last win for Hamburger SV10/2022

Latest matchups

2/3/252nd BundesligaSC Paderborn 072–0Hamburger SV
28/9/242nd BundesligaHamburger SV2–2SC Paderborn 07
10/5/242nd BundesligaSC Paderborn 071–0Hamburger SV
9/12/232nd BundesligaHamburger SV1–2SC Paderborn 07
5/5/232nd BundesligaHamburger SV2–2SC Paderborn 07
See 1 more matchups
30/10/222nd BundesligaSC Paderborn 072–3Hamburger SV

SC Paderborn 07 holds the advantage across recent meetings, having remained unbeaten by Hamburger SV through the last five encounters while also keeping a clean sheet in the most recent home fixture.

Who scored in these meetings

F. Bilbija 4
R. Glatzel 3
R. Leipertz 2
L. Bénes 2
J. Dompé 1
K. Kostons 1

24 2 · in 6 meetings

Previous encounters feature heavy disciplinary action alongside names like F. Bilbija and R. Glatzel on the scoresheet, aligning with a fixture history where bookings accumulate frequently as SC Paderborn 07 maintains an unbeaten run across recent meetings.

Then they play

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 31/10 · Bundesliga 2026/27 Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV 01/11 · Bundesliga 2026/27
They meet again: Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga 2026/27 02/03