Palmeiras vs Fluminense: the preview

Wednesday, October 21 · Allianz Parque CONMEBOL - Copa Libertadores 2026

VS
Palmeiras #2 · 11 pts

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Fluminense #2 · 8 pts
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Palmeiras enters the semifinal stage sitting three points above Fluminense in the standings, backed by three wins in five home matches in the tournament. Meanwhile, Fluminense arrives still searching for an away victory after five matches on the road in the competition, needing to overcome that visiting record to challenge the lead.

Updated on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at

Key facts

  • Fluminense are still without an away win in the competition: 5 games on the road.

  • Palmeiras are 2 points behind the group leaders.

Current form

Fluminense

2º
LLLWWL
Goals for7
Against7
Away0-0-2

#2 with 8 points (2W · 2D · 2L). Averages 1.5 goals for and 1.17 goals against per match.

Palmeiras relies on its home efficiency to secure the tie, while Fluminense needs to reverse its winless away run in the tournament to stay competitive.

The odds

Palmeiras 48%
Draw 27.8%
Fluminense 24.1%
Palmeiras 1.91 Draw 3.3 Fluminense 3.8

Implied probability, normalised so the three add up to 100.

The road to the final

CONMEBOL - Copa Libertadores 2026 · semi-finals
1st leg 0-02nd leg 22/10
This match
1st leg 1-2Tomorrow 20:30
F
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
FT
Estudiantes4
1st leg 1-12nd leg 3-0
Corinthians1
1st leg 0-02nd leg 0-1
Ind. del Valle4
1st leg 0-12nd leg 1-3
Flamengo3
1st leg 1-12nd leg 1-2
Fluminense1
1st leg 0-02nd leg 1-1Pens
Platense1
1st leg 1-12nd leg 0-0Pens
Palmeiras2
1st leg 1-12nd leg 1-0
Liga de Quito1
1st leg 1-12nd leg 0-0Pens
Estudiantes2
1st leg 1-12nd leg 1-0
Flamengo3
1st leg 0-22nd leg 1-1
Fluminense3
1st leg 2-02nd leg 1-2
Palmeiras3
1st leg 1-02nd leg 2-3Pens
1st leg 0-02nd leg 22/10
This match
1st leg 1-2Tomorrow 20:30
Swipe to see up to the final

The number is the aggregate score. Below, each leg from the first team's side. went through.

The difference-makers

Palmeiras. Palmeiras depends heavily on the combined production of J. López and Jhon Arias to generate most of its scoring output. Without their direct involvement, the team lacks secondary contributors among the top scorers to sustain that attacking volume.

Fluminense. Fluminense relies on Agustín Canobbio to lead the scoring chart, but a low away shot volume reduces the impact of that production on the road.

Playing style

FluminensePalmeiras
59.9% Possession 52.4%
2.6 Remates al arco 5.4
9.1 Remates totales 16
3.1 Corners 5.1
9.4 Fouls 11.8

Average of the most recent matches with stats available (8 and 9 respectively).

Palmeiras combines higher shot volume with a solid possession share to pressure opponents at home, while Fluminense struggles to convert its possession dominance into attempts on target during away fixtures.

When they settle games

Palmeiras 11 goals

1-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90

Fluminense 8 goals

1-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90

Palmeiras concentrates most of its scoring output during the first half hour of play, while Fluminense distributes its conversions more evenly across both halves but shows a recurring offensive presence between the sixteenth and thirtieth minutes.

Head to head

Head-to-head record · last 19 matches
7Fluminense won
4Draws
8Palmeiras won
Goals in the head-to-head17 – 23
Matches19
Last win for Fluminense08/2026
Last win for Palmeiras10/2026

Latest matchups

15/10/26Copa LibertadoresFluminense1–2Palmeiras
15/8/26Serie AFluminense3–2Palmeiras
26/2/26Serie APalmeiras2–1Fluminense
23/11/25Serie APalmeiras0–0Fluminense
23/7/25Serie AFluminense1–2Palmeiras
See 10 more matchups
8/12/24Serie APalmeiras0–1Fluminense
25/7/24Serie AFluminense1–0Palmeiras
3/12/23Serie APalmeiras1–0Fluminense
5/8/23Serie AFluminense2–1Palmeiras
27/8/22Serie AFluminense1–1Palmeiras
8/5/22Serie APalmeiras1–1Fluminense
14/11/21Serie AFluminense2–1Palmeiras
24/7/21Serie APalmeiras1–0Fluminense
15/11/20Serie APalmeiras2–0Fluminense
13/8/20Serie AFluminense1–1Palmeiras

Fluminense holds a slight edge across the eight recorded encounters with four wins against three for Palmeiras, though that historical balance shifted when Palmeiras claimed a home victory in their most recent meeting on this ground.

Who scored in these meetings

105 9 · in 19 meetings

The scoring history shows that Mauricio carries past production into this meeting for Palmeiras alongside Kevin Serna for Fluminense, while the high disciplinary tally across previous encounters suggests a physical matchup that will test both sides.