Palmeiras enters the semifinal stage sitting three points above Fluminense in the standings, backed by three wins in five home matches in the tournament. Meanwhile, Fluminense arrives still searching for an away victory after five matches on the road in the competition, needing to overcome that visiting record to challenge the lead.
scheduleUpdated on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at
Key facts
stadium
Fluminense are still without an away win in the competition: 5 games on the road.
Palmeiras relies on its home efficiency to secure the tie, while Fluminense needs to reverse its winless away run in the tournament to stay competitive.
The odds
Palmeiras 48%
Draw 27.8%
Fluminense 24.1%
Palmeiras 1.91Draw 3.3Fluminense 3.8
Implied probability, normalised so the three add up to 100.
Palmeiras. Palmeiras depends heavily on the combined production of J. López and Jhon Arias to generate most of its scoring output. Without their direct involvement, the team lacks secondary contributors among the top scorers to sustain that attacking volume.
Fluminense. Fluminense relies on Agustín Canobbio to lead the scoring chart, but a low away shot volume reduces the impact of that production on the road.
Playing style
FluminensePalmeiras
59.9%Possession52.4%
2.6Remates al arco5.4
9.1Remates totales16
3.1Corners5.1
9.4Fouls11.8
Average of the most recent matches with stats available (8 and 9 respectively).
Palmeiras combines higher shot volume with a solid possession share to pressure opponents at home, while Fluminense struggles to convert its possession dominance into attempts on target during away fixtures.
When they settle games
Palmeiras 11 goals
1-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
Fluminense 8 goals
1-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
Palmeiras concentrates most of its scoring output during the first half hour of play, while Fluminense distributes its conversions more evenly across both halves but shows a recurring offensive presence between the sixteenth and thirtieth minutes.
Head to head
Head-to-head record · last 19 matches
7Fluminense won
4Draws
8Palmeiras won
Goals in the head-to-head17 – 23
Matches19
Last win for Fluminense08/2026
Last win for Palmeiras10/2026
Latest matchups
15/10/26Copa LibertadoresFluminense1–2Palmeiras
15/8/26Serie AFluminense3–2Palmeiras
26/2/26Serie APalmeiras2–1Fluminense
23/11/25Serie APalmeiras0–0Fluminense
23/7/25Serie AFluminense1–2Palmeiras
See 10 more matchups expand_more
8/12/24Serie APalmeiras0–1Fluminense
25/7/24Serie AFluminense1–0Palmeiras
3/12/23Serie APalmeiras1–0Fluminense
5/8/23Serie AFluminense2–1Palmeiras
27/8/22Serie AFluminense1–1Palmeiras
8/5/22Serie APalmeiras1–1Fluminense
14/11/21Serie AFluminense2–1Palmeiras
24/7/21Serie APalmeiras1–0Fluminense
15/11/20Serie APalmeiras2–0Fluminense
13/8/20Serie AFluminense1–1Palmeiras
Fluminense holds a slight edge across the eight recorded encounters with four wins against three for Palmeiras, though that historical balance shifted when Palmeiras claimed a home victory in their most recent meeting on this ground.
The scoring history shows that Mauricio carries past production into this meeting for Palmeiras alongside Kevin Serna for Fluminense, while the high disciplinary tally across previous encounters suggests a physical matchup that will test both sides.