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Log in to turn it onSeparated by only two points in the upper section of the standings, Leon and Toluca meet with contrasting momentum. While Leon relies on a strong home record to sustain an unbeaten run, Toluca arrives after struggling to secure wins in recent rounds, compounded by a historical sequence where the hosts have failed to overcome this opponent in five consecutive matches.
Updated on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at
Leon have not beaten Toluca in 5 games.
Toluca are winless in 4 games in the competition.
Toluca are 3 points behind the group leaders.
38% of Leon's goals come in the last fifteen minutes.
#7 with 18 points (5W · 3D · 4L). Averages 1.67 goals for and 1.83 goals against per match.
#2 with 21 points (6W · 3D · 3L). Averages 2.33 goals for and 1.67 goals against per match.
Leon relies on winning four of its five home matches to counter Toluca managing three victories across six away outings.
Implied probability, normalised so the three add up to 100.
| Team | MP | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF America | 11 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 | Toluca | 12 | +10 | 21 |
| 3 | Atlas | 12 | +1 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Guadalajara | 12 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 12 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 | Queretaro FC | 11 | +2 | 20 |
| 7 | Leon | 12 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 | Monterrey | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 12 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 | Tijuana | 11 | +1 | 16 |
| 11 | Pumas | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Puebla | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 | Tigres | 12 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 | Pachuca | 12 | +3 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlético San Luis | 12 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 | Atlante | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 12 | -23 | 4 |
Leon. Daniel Arcila shoulders the primary scoring burden with four goals, leaving Leon vulnerable if his output stalls given the sparse secondary conversion rate.
Toluca. Toluca relies on Alexis Vega to distribute the ball alongside his scoring contribution, whereas the hosts depend more strictly on final conversions since their main target generates zero assists.
Average of the most recent matches with stats available (10 and 9 respectively).
Toluca registers a higher share of possession and greater shot volume per match, pointing to an initiative to control the tempo, while Leon absorbs the pressure aiming to capitalize on its efficient scoring sequences at home.
Toluca concentrates its scoring production before halftime while Leon accumulates conversions in the final stretch, suggesting the visiting side will need an early advantage to offset a host team that builds its scoring output as the match progresses.
5Toluca won6Leon wonThe head-to-head record reflects Toluca securing four wins across the last eight meetings while Leon only managed one victory, a pattern reinforced when Toluca claimed a four-goal win on its most recent visit to this stadium.
66 8 · in 14 meetings
While Paulinho leads the historical scoring for Toluca and R. Echeverria contributes for Leon, the high booking rate across past meetings indicates that the visiting side's higher shot volume and possession will test a disciplined home defense under severe pressure.
Toluca vs Tijuana
21/10 · México - Liga MX 2026/27
Tigres vs Leon
20/10 · México - Liga MX 2026/27
